13
Jul

We welcome our latest strater, Shantanu Gangal who recently completed his Dual Degree (Btech + Mtech) at IIT Bombay in Computer Science and Engineering. Shantanu scored 100 percentile in CAT 2008. Shantanu will start work with Boston Consulting Group (BCG). Shantanu also blogs here

Union Minister of Surface Transport and Highways Kamal Nath announced on Friday that he plans to build 20km per day, a steep increase over the last government. A commitment to the cause is completely welcome but more needs to be done – including efforts at the state level.

The road network in the country is divided into –

* National Highways (NH): The length of all the NHs is about 70,000km. A report by the MORTH, states that they cover just 2% of the road network in the country but carry over 40% of its traffic.
* State Highways (SH) and Major District Roads (MDR): These lie under the purview of State Governments (Public Works Department). These are meant to connect district headquarters to the major cities or the nearest National Highway. The combined road length is over 140,000 kms.
* Rural Roads: The remaining all weather roads connecting to small villages and hamlets are classified as the Rural Roads.

Successive government spending on infrastructure has kept the spotlight on the National Highway Development Project (NHDP). The work on Golden Quadrilateral and the two corridors is nearing completion, albeit behind schedules. Currently the government has chalked out plans for four-laning of many National Highways.

Similarly, the Pradhan Mantri Gram Sadak Yojana (PMGSY) caters to the other end of the spectrum. It promises to link all settlements with population in excess of 500 by all-weather roads.

This creates a void in the development of State Highways. Many state–highways are old. Leaving a National Highway to drive on a State Highway creates a very noticeable drop in speed. This is hurdle for movement of people across the state. However, most states have no clear plans to overhaul the State Highways and the MDRs. Most of these roads are still motor-able. That they are not yet convenient to routine road travel is hampering growth in nearby district places. The government should not only aim at metros servicing the markets at these towns but also encourage the ability of local industries to serve the metros. This can happen when moving from the National Highways to the inner roads is a seamless experience – when the roads are of comparable quality.

The reasons for paying due attentions are:

* Growth potential in smaller towns: An Ernst and Young report, aptly titled ‘The Dhoni Effect: Rise of Small Town India’, points to the increasing demand in smaller towns across the country. In the report, they classify the urban market into 6 Major Cities, 22 Key Urban Towns and Rest of Urban India. An illustration in the report points to the fact that while the mobile subscribers grew at an admirable CAGR of 58% in the 6 metros, they grew at 93% in the rest of urban markets. While telecommunication and retail sectors have quickly spread to these parts, other sectors will be slower on the move. However, no one denies that sooner or later, the consumption juggernaut will be fueled by the smaller towns. The ability to facilitate easy movement will determine the speed at which the hinterland market will boom. As an example, the town of Aurangabad lies about 200 Kms from Pune. However, it typically takes 6 hrs to cover the distance by road. Mumbai-Pune which is roughly the same distance takes about 3 hours by the Expressway. Businesses find it viable to service Pune from Mumbai office. This leads to aggregate increase in activity.

* There is an urgent need to increase the relative viability of the small towns in comparison with the Metros. This need stems from the fact that almost 33% of the population resides in the top 8 cities of the country and the numbers are still rising. With the decline in the rural economy, mass migration to the cities has created severe constraints on the infrastructure of the cities. The ability to share economic benefits with the district places and other small towns will buffer the urbanization blows on the metros, while creating positive spillover effects over a much wider geography. This can happen if towns within 300 km of a metro [or other Key Urban Town] can experience similar business prospects and outreach to the same markets.

* The rail network in the country is widespread. Whenever rail is convenient, freight is transported over railways. However, problems persist when it comes to encouraging people to get business across cities without having to shift base. Traveling by rail is perceived to be cumbersome and isn’t a favored choice. As of today, road infrastructure doesn’t allow a person to travel 200 km from a metro, transact business and return within a day. Railways aren’t preferred. Improvement of the road infrastructure will enable this and the associated gains.

While the critical need for excellent road conditions on secondary roads may be felt only a few years’ later, the state governments should actively take up the preliminary steps towards the goal. With the Ministry of Road Transport and Highways and Ministry of Rural Development (both at National level) covering an end of the spectrum, it is important that the state governments step up to successfully plug the intermediate needs. Since land acquisition will always remain a thorn in the side, it is wise to plan well in advance to connect the smaller towns and district places to the metros. With Build-Operate-Transfer being the order of the day, financing the projects through private sector shouldn’t be an issue.

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Category : Planning / Public Issues / Strategy

8 Responses to “Connecting Bharat!”


AT_korvus July 13, 2009

Nice article, agree with most of what you have said, especially point 1. It is my belief that we need smaller states to properly tackle this problem. I’ll just cite the case of U.P. The five major cities in U.P. are Lucknow, Kanpur, Varanasi, Allahabad and Gorakhpur (we can also include Agra and Mathura). However, at any given point of time, the focus of the government in Lucknow is on Lucknow itself. This is basically a problem of logistics, and not of bad governance, and it can be easily solved by setting up smaller states. A similar exercise has been carried out quite successfully by the Indian railways when they nearly doubled the number of zones from nine to sixteen.

I would disagree with the third point. The Indian railways daily transports over 20 million people across the length and breadth of the country. For some perspective, this is the total population of Australia. For the majority of India, railway is still the preferred choice of transport, and while bad roads do play a part in this, the fact that travel by railways is heavily subsidized and cheap cannot be ignored.

Umesh July 13, 2009

Hi Shantanu,Excellent article and well supported by the example of E&Y report!I enjoyed reading the article as it made a lot meaningful by your examples, cheers !!Hope to see more in coming days.
I am hoping that Indian infra story will definetely be a success now specially after PM has become the head on major infra projects.

@strat.in team:Great website to enjoy reading variety of blogs , cheers to you guys as well !!

Shantanu July 13, 2009

Almost 80% of the districts in (India – NE), are within 300 km of a Key Urban Towns mentioned in the E&Y report. Still we have swathes of the area seemingly disconnected.

wrt Railways: People would still prefer faster trains (thankfully we are moving in that direction as well) :D

Devang July 13, 2009

nice article…
but, i’d suggest you stop offering free consulting anymore.. its your job now :P

AT_korvus July 13, 2009

@Faster trains: not really feasible, considering the tracks and geography of India. And if you are referring to the faster trains mentioned by Mamta Banerjee, then there are a lot of operational issues in that as well (for one thing, they cannot be non stop)

Hrisheekesh Sabnis July 13, 2009

Nice work, Shantanu. It was good to see the tightly structured flow of thought (quite expected of a BCG consultant :-D ).

However, I felt that the post ended too quickly just briefly touching on the crucial aspect of clearly identifying and addressing the administrative and financing challenges for that critical intermediate stage. May be, we can use the comment space to elaborate more on this.

My sense is that it will be difficult to attract private capital for development of individual state-level road projects since the current traffic volumes may not be high enough to recover costs within a reasonable time period. Also, the involvement of various government agencies such as the state government and multiple zilla parishads may add to administrative risks.

Finally, a small errata I suppose. You mentioned that “almost 33% of the population resides in the top 8 cities of the country”. I assume meant 33% of the urban population (since only about 30% of the Indian population lives in all the cities combined).

jagdish July 14, 2009

Living in political and rural environment upto 12th in latur District, maharashtra. i came to know what are the main problems in rural area for the normal infrastructure devlopment.There is not a money problem in most of cases, respective authority get enough money for road construction and maintenance(Maintenance is big business)Problem is that they dont use it. This is the area where there is 90% corruption in rural and state level.In case of national infrastructure the spending occurs directly in mimimum levels. for example NHDP directly gives contract to the respective infra builders . But in rural area for every 5 km road there are different contractors and the authoritis. The tendency of politicians about road fund is like its thier money and they are doing social work by spending some amount out of it.
Then what is solution for it? The money transfor should be in minimun LEVELS.Spending should be through big different private companies( different area for different private sectors as we can judge them according to their work so they will be competent) assigning area wise devlopment and maintenance instead of small political contractors.We can see the example of Reliance Fresh.It works on similar principle but in reverse way.
i will like to conclude by this small(actually big) political funda:
There used to live ( and still living)two friends US politician(UP) and Indian politician(IP). Our IP went to meet UP.Standing near river UP shows IP a river bridge and says ” mine part in it was 20%”. Next year UP came to India.Standing near the river IP tells UP look at BRIDGE. UP says where is bridge?!!!!!!!